医学分子生物学杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (3): 277-282.doi: 10.3870/j.issn.1672-8009.2025.03.011

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于天冬氨酸转氨酶-血小板计数比构建 Nomogram 预测模型对宫颈癌患者术后短期预后的预测价值 #br#

  

  1. 湖北江汉油田总医院1妇产科,2超声影像科 湖北省潜江市, 433124
  • 出版日期:2025-05-31 发布日期:2025-06-12
  • 基金资助:
    湖北省卫健委项目 (No. WJ2021W074)

Predictive Value of a Nomogram Prediction Model Based on Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio for Short-term Prognosis of Cervical Cancer Patients After Surgery #br#

  1. 1Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics,2 Department of Ultrasound Imaging, Hubei Jianghan Oilfield General Hospital, Qianjiang, Hubei, 433124, China
  • Online:2025-05-31 Published:2025-06-12

摘要: 目的 基于天冬氨酸转氨酶/ 血小板比率指数 ( AST-platelet ratio index, APRI) 构建宫颈癌患者术后短期预后情况的预测模型 方法 根据纳入和排除标准纳入 2021 1 月至 2023 8 月在湖北江汉油田总医院收治的 112 例确诊为宫颈癌并接受根治性手术治疗的患者作为宫颈癌组, 选取同时期 100 例行妇科检查的健康妇女作为对照组随访期间依据宫颈癌患者预后情况将其分为预后良好组 (81 ) 和预后不良组 (31 )。 比较宫颈癌组与对照组一般资料, 收集宫颈癌组患者临床资料, 探究影响宫颈癌患者行根治性手术后短期预后的危险因素, 构建预测宫颈癌患者接受根治性手术后短期预后的列线图模型采用ROC 曲线分析 APRI 对宫颈癌患者术后短期预后的预测价值结果 与对照组比较, 宫颈癌组 APRI 及高危型 HPV 感染率更高 (P< 0. 05)。 预后良好组与预后不良组肿瘤直径分化程度、 FIGO 分期淋巴结转移情况、 AST、 APRI、 HPV 比较有差异 ( P< 0. 05)。 Logistic 回归分析显示, 肿瘤直径分化程度、 FIGO分期淋巴结转移、 APRI、 高危型 HPV 感染是宫颈癌患者行根治术后短期预后不良的独立风险因素 (P< 0. 05)。 列线图模型的校准曲线提示该模型具有高适用性, 预测准确可靠。 ROC 曲线结果显示 APRI 能够作为预测宫颈癌患者术后短期预后不良的有效诊断指标 ( AUC = 0. 743, P< 0. 05)。 结论 APRI 对预测接受根治性手术宫颈癌患者的短期预后有一定参考价值

关键词: 宫颈癌, 天冬氨酸氨基转移酶与血小板比值指数, 短期预后, 列线图

Abstract: Objective To construct a predictive model for short-term postoperative prognosis ofcervical cancer patients based on the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index ( APRI).Methods A total of 112 patients diagnosed with cervical cancer and undergoing radical surgeryfrom January 2021 to August 2023 in Hubei Jianghan Oilfield General Hospital were included as the cervical cancer group, according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Additionally, 100 healthy women who underwent gynecological examinations during the same period were selected as the control group. During follow-up, cervical cancer patients were divided into a good prognosis group (81 cases) and a poor prognosis group (31 cases) based on their postoperative prognosis. General information was compared between the cervical cancer group and the control group, and clinical data from the cervical cancer group were collected to explore the risk factors affecting the short-term prognosis of cervical cancer patients after radical surgery. A nomogram model was constructed to predict the prognosis of cervical cancer patients after radical surgery. The ROC curve was used to analyze the predictivevalue of APRI for the short-term postoperative prognosis of cervical cancer patients. Results Compared with the control group, the cervical cancer group had higher APRI and high-risk HPV infection rates (P<0. 05). Significant differences were observed in tumor diameter, differentiation grade, FIGO stage, lymph node metastasis, AST, APRI, and HPV between the good prognosis group and thepoor prognosis group (all P<0. 05). Upon conducting Logistic regression analysis, it was determinedthat the following factors emerged as independent predictors of short-term unfavorable prognosis in cervical cancer patients following radical surgery: tumor diameter, degree of differentiation, FIGO stage, lymph node metastasis status, APRI values, and the presence of high-risk HPV infection (allP<0. 05). The calibration curve of the nomogram model indicated high applicability, with accurateand reliable predictions. The ROC curve results showed that APRI could serve as an effective diagnostic indicator for predicting short-term poor postoperative prognosis in cervical cancer patients (AUC =0. 743, P<0. 05). Conclusion APRI may have a reference value in predicting the short-term prognosis of cervical cancer patients undergoing radical surgery.

Key words:

cervical cancer, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, prognosis, nomogram

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